A MULTIPHASE MODEL TO ASSESS THE EFFECTIVENESS OF EMISSION CONTROL SCENARIOS

摘要

This paper presents the application of TCAM model to assess secondary pollution control policies. The work focuses on two emission scenarios: the current legislation one, related to the emission reduction established by the EU Directives, and the MFR one, referring to the emission reduction caused by the use of the most efficient available reduction technology for each emission sector. The results show that the impact of both scenarios on ozone mean concentration is limited, even as for AOT40, the reduction reaches the 50% with respect to the base case. The impact on PM10 is more significant, also in terms of mean and exceedance days. Therefore, the impact of both emission control strategies does not meet PM10 EU 2010 standards over the whole domain.